Archive for the ‘Technology’ Category

Economic Elixir

Well, wouldn’t this be nice:

Technology could be an economic elixir as computers and online networks expand ways to automate services, distribute media and communicate.

Companies will need people to build and secure those networks. That should boost the number of programmers, network administrators and security specialists by 45 percent to 2.1 million by 2018, the government forecasts. Most of these jobs will provide above-average pay.

Oh, I don’t think so. The future is in the cloud, baby: hosted (off-site) solutions that don’t require any local networking/admin at all, accessed through your browser. (I’ve long worked with a customer relationship management [CRM] software suite which has long had a half-assed web implementation, and by now has a world-class web implementation … which can be deployed either on-premise, or in the cloud. In the amazon AWS, a server costs you around 12 cents per hour, IIRC.) Any security issues with that (e.g., for HIPAA, etc.) will be resolved by the hosting providers over the next few years.

Besides, the minute there really is any need for more I.T. professionals in North America, Gates & Co. will light a fire up Congress’ butt to let in more barely-competent Asians and East Indians, to keep wages down; and they’ll get their way. Guaranteed.

BTW, the amazon cloud is already HIPAA-compliant. Or so they say. Regardless, someone will solve that, and eight years from now, there may well be even less work available for network admins than there is today.

It’s just one of the ways in which technology, built by human beings, makes human beings redundant. And there’s no stopping it, so get used to it … because ultimately, the tech built by geeks like me (though not by me personally) is going to provide for all of our basic physical needs.

And what to do then, when the job which defined you is superfluous, the religion you believed in has fallen by the wayside (killed by science and skepticism and by me, in a good way), and all you can do is sit back and be entertained, Idiocracy-like? (Unless you’re a madly creative artist like myself, in which case there will never be enough hours in the day to do all the creative/technological things I’d like to do.)

Of 8 million-plus jobs lost to the recession—in fields like manufacturing, real estate and financial services—many, perhaps most, aren’t coming back.

In their place will be jobs in health care, information technology and statistical analysis. Some of the new positions will require complex skills or higher education. Others won’t—but they won’t pay very much, either.

“Our occupational structure is really becoming bifurcated,” says Richard Florida, a professor at University of Toronto. “We’re becoming more of a divided nation by the work we do.”

Good.

Frankenfuel

Wow:

Dr. Venter is turning from reading the genetic code to an even more audacious goal: writing it. At Synthetic Genomics, he wants to create living creatures—bacteria, algae or even plants—that are designed from the DNA up to carry out industrial tasks and displace the fuels and chemicals that are now made from fossil fuels.

“Designing and building synthetic cells will be the basis of a new industrial revolution,” Dr. Venter says. “The goal is to replace the entire petrochemical industry.”

Wow. Won’t do much to decrease greenhouse gases, but it would sure decrease the influence of the Middle East in the world. ‘Cause if you can grow your own oil for less than it costs to pump it out of the ground … well, fuck the sand-niggers (i.e., Arabs).

Truly, natural resources are just stepping-stones to an Information Technology which will one day be able to build those same resources out of “garbage.” And the power of savages who just happen by dumb luck, through absolutely no effort or intelligence of their own, to be sitting on top of a shitload of valuable natural resources, will be just a blip in history, several centuries from now.

NeXT

You know Steve Jobs’ NeXT logo, from back in the ’80s, after he left Apple?

He paid $100,000 to have that ugly thing designed.

And you know what venture capitalist paid $20 million for 16% of the company in early 1987? H. Ross Perot, founder of Electronic Data Systems, and later independent U.S. presidential candidate. (Perot had also “talked with Bill Gates about buying Microsoft [in 1979] but he had balked at the asking price, which was less than $60 million.”)

Clearly, I am in the wrong profession. Because that logo is crap, I could do better, but no one’s offering me six figures for something that must’ve taken all of ten minutes to ass-pull-out-of.

Is computer science a dead end in the workforce?

Is computer science a dead end in the workforce?

According to the latest data from the U.K.’s Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA), computer science graduates in the United Kingdom now have the hardest time finding work of graduates in any subject, with an unemployment rate of 17 percent.

I’m surprised it’s that low, especially since overall “the number of students who managed to find employment within six months has dropped from 62% to 59%.” Plus, nowhere does that article say that the grads are finding work in fields related to their degrees. And without that, they could just as well be flipping burgers….

At Zoho [in India], Vembu is experimenting with a unique, homegrown approach to recruitment. Instead of hiring degreed workers—who might have already picked up bad habits—he starts with high school graduates and molds them into programmers. Often his candidates have no previous computing experience. [I did my diploma at a private institute like that, in Toronto, where most of the other students had no previous programming experience. You would not have wanted to hire 80% of the people I graduated with.] Many don’t even speak English. But once they’ve completed a two-year intensive study course developed at Zoho, Vembu says, they’re fully prepared to work at any IT services company.

Of course: communication skills are soooo overrated!

Christ. I’ve worked with two Chinese database administrators in my professional life, neither of whom could speak English well enough to do their jobs competently. You’d explain to them, in excruciating detail, what they needed do. You’d then ask them if they understood it, and it was obvious they didn’t. So you’d explain it again. They’d assure you they understood it now. You’d go for lunch. And then when you checked back later, what they had done bore no resemblance to what you had asked them to do. Every time.

One of them also managed to fatally hose a database server by installing Oracle 7 on top of Oracle 8 … but that’s another story.

[M]any American employers are trying a similar, ground-up approach to developer education. Rather than hiring new programmers to staff software projects, they recruit internally, often tapping employees with little or no previous coding experience to transition into development roles. Although the learning curve can be steep, such internal hires have the advantage of domain expertise and knowledge of business processes and objectives—skills that could take green programmers even longer to master.

Bollocks! First, gathering requirements is what you have project managers for, and translating those requirements into system architecture is what you have senior developers/architects for. If they’re doing their jobs properly, the “green” developers actually writing the code shouldn’t even need any “knowledge of business processes and objectives.” Or, if you’re talking about one-person projects where a developer is covering all of those bases, from requirements-gathering on down, it’s very unlikely that you’ll be doing that with a “green programmer” who is just out of school. (I, of course, was an exception—like an I.T. Director once said: “Geoff’s smart, and smart people are hard to find.” Plus, I had done professional-level programming even before that, just without the formal schooling for it.)

Second, in this day and age, anyone who hasn’t even taken an intro programming course through all their secondary and post-secondary education is very unlikely to have either the interest or the talents to be good at it. Hell, that was true even twenty-five years ago, back when I was in high school.

Third, if you really want to do the developer-role/business-processes thing properly, the smart thing to do is to embed the programmer in the business-side as an assistant for a few months, having him use the apps they’re using, to see the shortcomings first-hand, from a user perspective—doing a de facto efficiency audit of their systems. At Advantex, I worked for six months on their sales side, writing VBA automations for Excel and PowerPoint (etc.), without the I.T. Department even knowing I was doing it. When I later transferred into their I.T. Dept., I knew the business model, and the shortcomings in their existing apps, quite well.

Overall, if you think you can bring someone up from zero to being able to do competent architecture and coding in less time than you can teach an existing programmer about your business processes and objectives, you’re either stupid, or used to working with very stupid programmers with no business-process sense (which this industry is also sadly littered with).

Meet The YouTube Stars Making $100,000 Plus Per Year

Meet The YouTube Stars Making $100,000 Plus Per Year.

I didn’t know you could even make money off of YouTube.

This changes everything!

Of course, it probably helps to be showing some cleavage….

Cluster Computing

W00t! As of a mere month ago, Amazon now has Cluster Computer Instances (Amazon HPC) in their EC2 Cloud.

Cluster Computer Instances are similar to other Amazon EC2 instances but have been specifically engineered to provide high performance compute and networking. Cluster Compute Instances can be grouped as cluster using a “cluster placement group” to indicate that these are instances that require low-latency, high bandwidth communication. When instances are placed in a cluster they have access to low latency, non-blocking 10 Gbps networking when communicating the other instances in the cluster….

These instance types are managed exactly the way other Amazon EC2 instances are managed….

Here is a list of scientific/parallel/distributed computing frameworks and platforms for Amazon EC2.

Each Cluster Compute Instance consists of a pair of quad-core Intel “Nehalem” X5570 processors with a total of 33.5 ECU (EC2 Compute Units), 23 GB of RAM, and 1690 GB of local instance storage, all for $1.60 per hour….

The only way to know if this is a genuine HPC setup is to benchmark it, and we’ve just finished doing so…. [The] result places us at position 146 on the Top500 list of supercomputers.

Bill Gates: In Five Years The Best Education Will Come From The Web

Bill Gates: In Five Years The Best Education Will Come From The Web:

“Five years from now on the web for free you’ll be able to find the best lectures in the world,” says Bill Gates. “It will be better than any single university.”

He believes the $50,000 a year university education could be done via the web for as little as $2,000.

The irony being that, back in the ’80s when I was just out of high school and studying Electrical Engineering at the U of Manitoba, tuition was around $1000 per year….

(Teach12.com)

Steveospheric Knowledge Management

The idiots in the Steveosphere are going off on their “America doesn’t build products to sell anymore, like it did in its heyday” kick. Crap like this:

R. J. Stove wrote the following in 2009, on Takimag, about his experiences briefly studying “Knowledge Management” [as part of a "librarian degree"] at an Australian college:

Once upon a time, in the Bad Old Days (we were asked to believe), people earned money by making things. Now, in the Brave New World, people earned money by thinking things. This Is The Knowledge Economy. We Love The Knowledge Economy. Long Live The Knowledge Economy. Rah Rah Rah!

No amount of contrary evidence could shake lecturers’, and textbook writers’, faith in this Knowledge Economy gig. The fact that every knowledge-worker I know is about to lose his job or has already lost it—even as plumbers, electricians, bricklayers, and other non-knowledge-workers are earning at least six-figure annual salaries—was simply not allowed to disturb the prevailing euphoria.

Those job losses, of course, are a direct result of high-skill immigration (esp. from East/South Asia), not a defect in the “knowledge economy” as such. (Economists, MBAs and librarians contribute very little of value to that economy; and the geeks who are actually driving that trade don’t take courses in “Knowledge Management,” except as a route into management. Yuck.)

So I was glad to see this rebuttal:

If you guys think the USA doesn’t “manufacture” anything anymore, then you need to spend some time in a hospital and check out the shiznat that the radiologists and OB/GYNs and gastroenterologists and cardiologists deploy in order to peer inside of their patients—we’re talking physical sensors and algorithmic software packages which simply knock the socks off of anything that anyone else is doing anywhere in the rest of the world.

But it takes a Masters or a PhD in a pretty serious major [Physics, Math, EE, Comp Sci, etc] to be able to help design and produce those rigs.

Which doesn’t leave much work for the average high school graduate to perform.

Precisely. Because, guess what? Software is a product.

Guess what else? Robots and other hardware are products. And even if they’re manufactured in sweatshops overseas (iPhones in China, etc.), the knowledge which enables that manufacture is still a predominantly North American/European resource. (And thanks to the mindless conformity enforced by Asian cultures, from India through to China and Japan, it’s likely to stay that way.)

iPads are products. The Kindle is a product. Microsoft Windows is a product. Java is a product. The .NET platform is a product. They are not products that grunt-working, worthless, prejudiced, homophobic, misogynistic proles can produce, but for damned sure they’re still products. Duh!!

Guess what else? When robots are used to put cars together, or (within a decade or two) to pick tomatoes directly from the vine, those cars and tomatoes are still products. The fact that the knowledge-based technology used there puts moronic proles out of work doesn’t change any of that. It does, however, demonstrate pretty conclusively that the regressive Steveospheric-prole hope of reducing the role of the Western “knowledge economy” in favor of a dumbfuck-reliant one where “real men build things” (and women stay in the kitchen where they belong) would not restore America to its former economic greatness; on the contrary, that regressive path would in fact be the quickest route to Third World status for the nation. (These technologically illiterate morons seriously have a problem with people who get paid to think?? Where the fuck do they think their tech toys come from???)

Further, half a century from now, when cars and tomatoes are assembled from-atoms-up by biological nanotechnologies, they will still be products, even though requiring no dumbfuck-prole labor at all in their manufacture. This is the future world which geeks (like me) are building today.

That, of course, is lost, utterly lost, on the Steveospheric morons, for whom biotech is just “glorified science projects that will never see the light of day or contribute anything substantial to GDP.”

“Gobsmacking stupidity” would be putting it far too politely. Just read KurzweilAI’s daily email synopsis of cutting-edge nano- and bio-technologies, and you’ll see how hopelessly wrong the above moron is. Even just in terms of genetically modified “frankenfoods” (e.g., corn and soy), the contribution is already very significant. If you want a further prediction: Within a decade—or two at most—biotech will be a larger fraction of the American GDP than personal computers are today. It’s truly well on its way to being the basis of all health-care, for one.

As more than one commenter on that thread noted, economics is not Sailer’s forté. It ain’t mine (yet) either, for that matter—notwithstanding that I did manage to pass that mandatory third-year Economics for Engineers course back in the ’80s, without attending classes, studying, or doing the assignments. But when even someone with near-zero background in economics can find holes big enough to drive a Wilber-esque SUV through, in the arguments of a group of “cutting-edge, insightful conservatives,” you can be certain that the econ is just more Steveospheric Quackery, fully on a par with their bumbling “insights” about the supposed benefits of high-fat diets, and their projection-filled fantasies about imagined white liberal-elite motivations.

Truly, the more you understand about each of the topics on which the Sailerites pontificate, the more it’s obvious that they’re just confidently bumbling “Wilbers,” just with a passion for politics rather than for spirituality.

KaabaCube

Well, I for one had never realized how much Steve Jobs’ mid-’80s NeXTcube resembled … the Muslim Kaaba.

Powered by a (overclocked?) holy meteorite, no less.

But then, all black cubes look the same to me….

The Science Of ‘Inception’

The Science Of ‘Inception’:

Jack Gallant, a neuroscientist at the University of California, Berkeley … has spent the past 10 years heading a neuroscience and psychology lab at Berkeley whose mandate is to tap into the mind to see what it sees. Gallant does this by showing people images and movies while taking a functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) scan of their brains. He uses brain-pattern analysis and computer algorithms to analyze the fMRI scans and build a model of the subject’s visual system. Using the model, Gallant can then have his subject watch a completely new movie and reproduce the images the subject has seen with very good accuracy. In other words, he can take the pictures right out of our heads.

What was it that Ken Wilber had to say about this sort of thing? Oh, right:

You can say that when a person’s thinking logically, certain parts of the brain light up. But you can’t determine what the person is thinking.

Not that his brand of confident, world-class pig-ignorance wouldn’t fit right into the Steveosphere, etc., but still, what a Wilber. (Yes, I know we’ve got a way to go before we can directly read particular [logical, etc.] thoughts; but even that doesn’t mean that a “lookup table,” like they’ve effectively been constructing for the [visual] movies above, wouldn’t be up to the task.)